The weather promises to play a big part, especially if the predicted rain arrives which will cause hassle for many punters studying each race. Also, draw bias has had an impact on the results over the first two days. In short, in handicaps with more than 16 runners it pays to be be drawn high, but in smaller fields, results are showing that being drawn low is an advantage. Take it as you will, it is difficult enough trying to find a winner taking into account many other factors such as trip, ground and weights let alone which stall they are housed in! Anyway, hopefully I can find a winner or two to brighten up the day.
The first race looks like a tough opener for punters but on form Mirrored looks to have a decent chance. He was entered up for Friday's Totesport Mile but trainer Sir Michael Stoute has opted to race him here and race over near two furlongs further. Since winning two small handicaps in April and May, he really has improved into a useful handicapper. He ran a huge race at Royal Ascot in the Britannia Stakes, finishing third and losing out by a small margin. On his previous start, again over a mile, he was staying on to take third at Sandown after being set a little too much to do. The way he has being seeing out his races is pleasing and with his trainer and jockey (Ryan Moore) bang in form, he will take all the beating. Roman Republic has twice finished behind Mirrored this season but he showed improved form after being upped in trip to 10f on his last start. Mark Johnston's charge will probably race prominently and rates as a good each-way bet given that he is guaranteed to stay. Sopranist is a lightly-raced individual from the John Gosden stable and has shown improvement on each start. Set The Trend has progressed well and ran well on his only start on turf at Haydock, staying on without looking like the winner. He could go well for his in-form trainer. It is a tough race to unravel with many of these unexposed and with further improvement to come so stakes should be kept small, even though Mirrored looks sure to run well with lots in his favour.
The Audi Stakes over 5f looks sure to run at a break-neck gallop and the admirable and consistent Borderlescott heads the market. Robin Bastiman's seven-year-old is a credit to his stable as he always runs his heart out and looks set to improve on the form shown at Goodwood during his career, as four runs at the track have yielded a win, two seconds and a third. He obviously loves the track and is adaptable in terms of ground so if the rain does come his chances may not be as affected as his rivals. After a confidence-boosting win at Chester last time out, he will be in prime shape to take his chance. If the weather does take a turn for the worst, Ialysos's participation may be in doubt as he needs good ground to be at his best. He has been a revelation since joining Luca Cumani from Greece and has won nine of his 10 starts, his only defeat coming in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee Stakes where he found the opposition too good. This level is much more his grade and he got back to winning ways at Sandown, staying on well up the rail to win. He picks up a penalty for that race but is in good form and if the rain stays away, he will go close. Kingsgate Native is an interesting runner having returned to racing after proving to be infertile at stud. On his first run back, he was up against in the Golden Jubilee and was eased down after failing to land a blow. He is a top-class performer having won the Kings Stand Stakes as a three-year-old. If back to his best, he will take all the beating. Inxile is a consistent sort and has won some nice races abroad this season. He is in form and should run well again. Many of the runners are out of form and need to up their game to feature, but of the remainder, Total Gallery ought to go well after winning well over 6f at Newmarket.
The much-anticipated Goodwood Cup over 2m takes centre stage at 3:25 and it looks a very competitive affair. Schiaparelli is the forecast favourite and looks interesting for Goldophin and Frankie Dettori. He ran a huge race in the Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Newmarket's July meeting, where he was seemingly unfancied but kept going under his jockey and even though he was demoted to third after drifting across Alwaary, he found only the high-class Doctor Fremantle too good. He is up in trip 4f today and would appreciate the rainfall given that his best form has come with some ease in the ground. He is a four-time Group 1 winner and it will take a good one to topple him. Askar Tau is arguably the most interesting runner of the festival, having his first start of the season after disappointing as favourite in last season's Cesarewitch in October. Before that, he had racked up five wins in handicap company over marathon distances such as this and even though this will be his first try in Group class, he has to be feared. Now that his trainer Marcus Tregoning in back in form after a virus at the yard, advertised by Finjaan's decisive win in Tuesday's Betfair Cup, Askar Tau should go well back to this distance and with conditions in his favour. Enroller is another up in trip after two solid efforts in good company this season. He began his season in fine style, winning a soft-ground Group 3 at Newbury. He is consistent but may need some cut to be at his best. It will be hard to discount the old boy Caracciola, who has been in tremendous form on the level this season. He won last season's Cesarewitch over 2m 2f and after gamely holding on at York, he headed to Royal Ascot to contest the Queen Alexandra Stakes over 2m 6f. He bullied his rivals into submission that day and forged clear to score readily and he in his current mood he looks sure to go well. Mourilyan is worthy of a mention after his antics in Dubai. He is dour stayer and Gary Moore will have him in top shape.
In-keeping with the competitive nature, the Moet Hennessy Stakes, confined to fillies, looks equally as tough. Lucy Wadham's Cassique Lady is progressing all the time and tackles this distance for the first time. She won a Listed race in determined fashion on her previous run and based on that effort should go well with Ryan Moore in the saddle. She is the highest-rated runner in the field and is versatile in terms of ground and trip. Suailce represents Dermot Weld and is a tough stayer. Even though proven on quicker ground, her best form has come on surfaces with some give and will certainly make it tough for her opponents, given that some are going into unknown territory over this trip. She has the strong assistance of Jimmy Fortune in the plate and will be challenging late. Starfala has been running with credit of late over 10f but she could find more improvement now tackling this distance. She has improved rapidly and has a rating of 100, but could prove better now getting more of a stamina test. The form of her last race in the Lancashire Oaks at Haydock is working out well, with the winner and third going on to score on their next starts. Frankie Dettori gets the ride and she will go well. Victoria Montoya is a proven stayer and is a course and distance winner. This trip looks her optimum as she has gained three wins from five races at it and has conditions to suit. In a tricky race, she is another who can get involved.
Another three-year-old handicap, this time over 7f but it looks just as hard to solve. Brae Hill won nicely at Chester on his last start and has only gone up 5lbs in the weights, which looks lenient. He has a good draw in 15 and has the potential to progress further so he can go well for Hayley Turner. Shamwari Lodge was a beaten favourite in a decent Newmarket handicap on just her fifth career start last time out. She was dropped to a mile but could not cope with the pace shown by some of her rivals and she stayed on to finish eighth. Back up to 7f today, she may bounce back to her best form. Infiraad was well fancied for the Jersey Stakes at Ascot's Royal meeting but he failed to show anything like his best and he trailed in last. Something must have been amiss that day and he can be given another chance after looking like a good prospect before that. He has his conditions and he will have no excuses. Many of the others have some sort of chance but Suruor ran a cracker on his last run at Ascot and if in the same form has the ability to go well under Jimmy Fortune for trainer David Simcock.
The penultimate race on the card is a maiden race over 7f and the betting will play a huge part in indicating who will fare the best. Water Biscuit represents Brian Meehan and she has finished runner-up twice during her short career. Meehan's juveniles generally improve for the run on debut and she was narrowly denied by the more-experienced Bella Swan at Newmarket last time out. She is upped to this trip from 7f and with Frankie Dettori aboard, much is expected. Laureldean Spirit should have improved for her promising debut run, where she was beaten by greeness and immaturity. She was well fancied and took up the running with a furlong out and looked set to win but she began to idle and was caught by a Godolphin inmate. The experience will have done her good and she can be expected to improve significantly here for her in-form trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Paul Hanagan. Ghazwah is another who will benefit from her debut run, where she finished behind Water Biscuit. She needed the run that day and with John Gosden's juveniles going well she will go well under Richard Hills. In any maiden race, it would be unwise to ignore anything entered by Richard Hannon. He has three in the race, but all of them would need to improve to take this, with Paleo looking the stable's first choice. Paul Cole races Pink Symphony, who holds many big-race entries and she should be watched closely in the betting as she may be good enough to strike first time out.
The final race on the card is a punter's nightmare, a 26-runner handicap over 5f. The draw will play a big part so it may pay to be drawn high. In truth, it looks so difficult to solve and stakes should be kept to a minimum. Indian Trail, Rocker, Le Toreador and Mandurah have all been running well in these type of races all season and in-form sprinters should not be ignored. One which is interesting is Northern Bolt, drawn in 22 and trained by sprint-king Dandy Nicholls. He hasn't been running too badly recently but one positive can be gleaned from one piece of form from last season where he finished third at Doncaster in a field on 20. He may prefer larger fields and is sure to be a big price.
Selections (10 point wallet) -
2:10 - Mirrored - 1 pt win at 4/1.
2:45 - Borderlescott - 3 pt win at 3/1.
3:25 - Askar Tau - 1 pt e/w at 11/2.
4:00 - Starfala - 1 pt win at 9/2.
4:35 - Brae Hill - 1 pt win at 6/1.
5:10 - Water Biscuit - 1 pt win at 3/1.
- Pink Symphony - 0.5 pt e/w at 10/1.
5:45 - Northern Bolt - 0.5 pt e/1 at 25/1.
Wednesday, 29 July 2009
Review - Days One and Two- Goodwood
Firstly, may I apologise for only beginning to analyse Glorious Goodwood three days in, mainly due to a lack of motivation and in some cases, sheer trouble in trying to find a winner of particular races. Hopefully this small review will whet the appetite for the remainder of the week.The first two days have produced some taking performances and some exciting finishes. On Tuesday, Harbinger romped to victory in the Gordon Stakes and has since been installed as 7/2 favourite for the St Leger in September, won last year by stablemate Conduit. Also, Monsieur Chevalier made it six wins from seven in the Molecomb Stakes, a remarkable achievement for all concerned. He is a horse who exudes class and must be produced late to make full use of his deadly turn of foot and it looked for a moment as if he may not get a run during the race. However, once Richard Hughes angled for a gap, his mount shot through it and scored in impressive fashion. On Wednesday, Clive Cox's Xtension played a big compliment to his Coventry conquerer Canford Cliffs as he routed his opposition in the Vintage Stakes. He needed every yard of the 7f trip and looks like a useful prospect for next season. The feature race of the day, the Sussex Stakes, looked a top-class renewal and the nearly-horse Rip Van Winkle took on Group 1 winners in the shape of Paco Boy and the superstar filly Ghanaati over a mile. After nearly being withdrawn due to lameness, 'Rip' lived up to the hype and won in convincing style, taking up the running three furlongs out and staying on well to deny Paco Boy and Ghanaati. This was his first win of the season, a belated one having seen the backside of the awesome Sea The Stars on three occasions.
Tuesday, 21 July 2009
Comment - Hats Off, Ffos Las
Wales is proving to the sporting world that it is more than capable of staging world-class events, minus the mishaps so often seen elsewhere. When Wembley was being built, albeit five years late, the Millenium Stadium in Cardiff coped admirably with herds of football supporters ambushing the arena each May to witness the F.A Cup Final. Recently, the SWALEC Stadium played host to the first Ashes Test match of the 2009 series, which saw England hold out to gain an epic draw. Many were sceptical as to how the area of Glamorgan would handle the pressure of the event, but all went smoothly. On the 18th June, history was made as Ffos Las opening its gates for the first time to the racing public.
Ffos Las, situated in West Wales, has been supported and funded by businessman Dai Walters, a keen racing enthusiast. Even though it is a dual-purpose racetrack, staging both Flat and Jump racing, it is Britain's newest National Hunt course and the first to be built in 80 years. The racecourse itself was previously an open-cast coal mine but once that industry closed in the 1980s, the area slipped into the unknown. After the farce that was Great Leighs, which went into administration after losing its licence, this new track has been a breath of fresh air for the surrounding area and everyone involved with the racing.
The arena can hold 10,000 people and was built at a price of £20 million, a big gamble which, at present, looks likely to be successful. This new track will benefit the trainers that reside in Wales, many of whom are young and look set to go to the top of training ranks. The most established Welsh trainer is Peter Bowen, who has plundered many big races over the jumps and sets a good target for his fellow countrymen and women to aim at. However, handlers such as Evan Williams, Tim Vaughan and Alison Thorpe have made a big splash in the racing pool over the past years and look sure to keep improving as their stock of horses increases. Ffos Las is a further indication that Wales is and will continue to be an important cog in the British Horseracing Authority's wheel.
Ffos Las held its first Flat meeting only yesterday but it received glowing praise from jockeys, trainers, owners and racegoers alike. Even though heavy rainfall arrived overnight, the going was still described as good, indicating just how good the drainage is at the course. Many jockeys were surprised (in a good way) just how well the course handled the conditions and the trainers were just as pleased. Charlie Hills, assistant and son of legend Barry, shared his opinions, stating: "Dad came and walked around the track before it opened and he thought it was top class. It does look a beautiful racecourse and is a lovely, flat track." Further testimony to Ffos Las' quality was touched on by Hills' son, jockey Michael. He said: "I'm very impressed as the track rides beautifully and I would have no qualms about riding a very good horse here." It would be no shock if the track were to be gained a good Listed race, dare I say maybe a Group race, in the near future.
It looks set to be a massive hit for the racing industry, which has had its reputation tarnished in recent weeks by trainer suspensions, racetrack incidents and corruption. With the reviews sparkling and the action glittering, a toast should be raised to Walters for making the idea a reality and to Ffos Las itself for bringing horse racing something to smile about. The track's official opening ceremony is to be staged on 28th August, you can blink, you won't miss it.
Ffos Las, situated in West Wales, has been supported and funded by businessman Dai Walters, a keen racing enthusiast. Even though it is a dual-purpose racetrack, staging both Flat and Jump racing, it is Britain's newest National Hunt course and the first to be built in 80 years. The racecourse itself was previously an open-cast coal mine but once that industry closed in the 1980s, the area slipped into the unknown. After the farce that was Great Leighs, which went into administration after losing its licence, this new track has been a breath of fresh air for the surrounding area and everyone involved with the racing.
The arena can hold 10,000 people and was built at a price of £20 million, a big gamble which, at present, looks likely to be successful. This new track will benefit the trainers that reside in Wales, many of whom are young and look set to go to the top of training ranks. The most established Welsh trainer is Peter Bowen, who has plundered many big races over the jumps and sets a good target for his fellow countrymen and women to aim at. However, handlers such as Evan Williams, Tim Vaughan and Alison Thorpe have made a big splash in the racing pool over the past years and look sure to keep improving as their stock of horses increases. Ffos Las is a further indication that Wales is and will continue to be an important cog in the British Horseracing Authority's wheel.
Ffos Las held its first Flat meeting only yesterday but it received glowing praise from jockeys, trainers, owners and racegoers alike. Even though heavy rainfall arrived overnight, the going was still described as good, indicating just how good the drainage is at the course. Many jockeys were surprised (in a good way) just how well the course handled the conditions and the trainers were just as pleased. Charlie Hills, assistant and son of legend Barry, shared his opinions, stating: "Dad came and walked around the track before it opened and he thought it was top class. It does look a beautiful racecourse and is a lovely, flat track." Further testimony to Ffos Las' quality was touched on by Hills' son, jockey Michael. He said: "I'm very impressed as the track rides beautifully and I would have no qualms about riding a very good horse here." It would be no shock if the track were to be gained a good Listed race, dare I say maybe a Group race, in the near future.
It looks set to be a massive hit for the racing industry, which has had its reputation tarnished in recent weeks by trainer suspensions, racetrack incidents and corruption. With the reviews sparkling and the action glittering, a toast should be raised to Walters for making the idea a reality and to Ffos Las itself for bringing horse racing something to smile about. The track's official opening ceremony is to be staged on 28th August, you can blink, you won't miss it.
Friday, 3 July 2009
Preview - Sandown
With the sun still shining gloriously, this seven-race meeting looks sure to deliver action sizzling with excitement and drama. The feature is the Coral Eclipse over 10 furlongs and it promises to be a fascinating encounter.
The first race underlines the quality of the afternoon and is the Group 3 Coral Charge, ran over 5f. Forecast favourite is Triple Aspect and he deserves to be at the head of the market judged on his recent form. He notched his second course and distance win just over two weeks ago and won impressively by two lengths, made even better considering he was badly outpaced early on and had to carry a penalty after his win in France. Owned by Harry Findlay and trained by William Haggas, he has conditions to suit and should make a bold bid to improve the good recent record of three-year-olds in the race. Ialysos is an interesting contender now dropped in grade after disappointed in the Golden Jubilee Stakes last time out. He was previously eight races unbeaten after arriving from Greece and then winning on his debut for Luca Cumani at Haydock but could not handle the rough nature of the Group 1-rated contest. Cumani believes he will be much better off back in grade and hopes that this serves as a confidence booster. He looks sure to return to form with Cristophe Lemaire in the saddle. Anglezarke is aiming to build on her huge run at Ascot last time out, where she finished third behind Scenic Blast in the Kings Stand Stakes. Despite being a big price, she beat some good horses but lacked the class of the impressive winner. She has been holding her form well and was only a neck behind Ialysos at Haydock, hinting that it possible that she may reverse the form with the 'Greek Freak'. Lower down in the betting are standing dishes in these races, but who look up against it. These include Captain Gerrard, Judd Street and Masta Plasta, who all need to improve to feature here.
The Coral Challenge comes shortly after and it lives up to its name, looking very difficult to fathom. Mirrored has a good chance based on his massive run in the Brittania Stakes at Ascot, where he finished two short-heads third, even though he was first in his group on the far side. He looks a pregressive animal and despite going up another 6lbs in the handicap, he ought to go close to adding a second course and distance win under Ryan Moore. Alfathaa ran a big race on his seasonal debut in the Royal Hunt Cup, eventually finishing seventh. It was a good effort based on his lack of race fitness and he had some smart form as a two-year-old. If he has trained on, he could improve on his current mark of 102. Huzzah finished second in the Royal Hunt Cup, only two lengths behind the winner, who looks a Group performer in waiting. He has been a consistent sort for Barry Hills and looks set to run well again. A number of alternatives linger in the line-up, such as Roman Republic for the in-form Mark Johnston team. He failed to give his running at Ascot and finished eight places behind Mirrored, but it is too soon to be writing him off.
The big race, the Coral Eclipse, takes centre stage shortly after 3pm and Sea The Stars looks to have a huge chance to add to his awesome haul of Group 1s already this season. After winning the 2,000 Guineas, he went to Epsom and hacked up in the Derby. He won very easily that day and showed to everyone just how special he is and he can further their beliefs today. The form of his wins this year stacks up impressively. Mastercraftsman, who finished behind him at Newmarket, has gone on to win the Irish 2,000 Guineas and the St James' Palace Stakes in good style and Fame And Glory, runner-up in the Derby, went on to romp home in the Irish equivalent just two weeks ago. He has a superb turn of foot which will hold him in good stead over this trip and he may too much finishing pace for his opposition. He is also getting 11lbs from the older horses in the race, a huge plus for Mick Kinane's mount. John Oxx has been patient with his charge and has always said he needs fast ground to perform, and with that present, it will take a good one to beat him. Conduit only just failed to win on his seasonal reappearance, where he was beaten a nose in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes by Cima De Triomphe, whom he re-opposes today. Conduit, a classic winner after his St Leger win last season, has to give weight to Sea The Stars but is a classy horse in his own right. After winning well at Doncaster, giving trainer Sir Michael Stoute his first winner in the race, he went to Santa Anita to contest the Breeders' Cup Turf over 1m 4f. He was ridden confidently by Ryan Moore and swooped late to land the spoils. He has a good turn of foot and is sure to stay every inch of this trip so if any is to trouble the favourite, Conduit may be the one. Rip Van Winkle has been a hype horse for trainer Aidan O'Brien and has finished behind Sea The Stars twice this season. He has been running on strongly however, indicating that this stiff track may play to his strengths. Jimmy Fortune takes over from the banned Johnny Murtagh and Rip Van Winkle will have no excuses with conditions to suit. Cima De Triomphe will do well to beat Conduit again after his narrow win last time out. He is an interesting contender but may lack the class of Sea The Stars.
A Listed Fillies race follows and Sir Michael Stoute has an interesting runner in Strawberrydaiquiri, who won a modest a Windsor maiden on her last start. Even though her opposition was average, she still won with plenty in hand and deserves this step up in class. She looks set to go off a short price and may well prove worth risking, despite her inexperience. Her trainer has a good record in the race and will go close to building on it. Wadaat is down in class after a disappointing effort in the Oaks at Epsom in June. She is fully exposed and drops back to a mile after struggling to prove effective over further. Beat Seven has to improve on the form shown this season to feature. She finished off her juvenile season well, running some good races in defeat. However, she has lacked that same zest this term and her trainer could be in better form. Young Americans is an intriguing runner for Marco Botti. She is unbeaten after one race and is an import from Italy. Botti is a shrewd operator and only enters horses in this grade if he believes they perform with credit, so this filly needs a check in the market.
Another Listed race comes after and is to be ran over 2m. Judgethemoment aims to win his fourth consecutive race after winning the Ascot Stakes in good fashion, even though that was over 4f extra. He is a dour stayer and is just as effective at this trip. He is a worthy favourite and will be staying on at the finish. Gravitation had some very good form last season and if back to anywhere close to that, ought to win. However, he ran a shocker on his seasonal debut but may be given another chance now fit after that run. Desert Sea ran well on his previous start, where he finished behind Daraahem in the Chester Cup in May. He is fresh enough for this run and is another runner with sound claims. Wells Lyrical has yet to win over this trip but has gone mighty close on his last two runs. He finished a length by Som Tala in last weekend's Northumberland Plate and if over those exertions, may again run with credit. Amerigo has so far disappointed this season but with trainer Michael Jarvis now in better form, he may be ready to strike.
Another handicap follows and it looks a trappy affair. Maswerte appreciated the switch to turf on his seasonal debut and he won easily at Newbury. He has gone up 6lbs for that success but looks progressive enough to prove better than that. Santefisio is very interesting after two good efforts this season. He surprised everyone when winning a Newbury maiden at odds of 100/1 but proved that win to be no fluke when only just failing on his last start. He stayed every yard of the 7f that day on to lose out to Cyflymder, of whom he has 12lbs in hand on. Cyflymder has won three races already this season and has gone up another 4lbs as a result. He is in good form but will need to improve again to win this. The market will be crucial in this race as there are many unexposed types in the race, such as Floor Show, who ran well last time out and with his trainer in form, may feature under Ted Durcan.
The last race is another tough puzzle to solve and again the betting will shape the opinion of the contest. Raaeidd ran well at York last time, where he finished behind an improving type, who has since go on to run well at the Royal meeting at Ascot. He has gone up 2lbs for that but looks the type to improve throughout the season. Senses won well over course and distance on his last start and has been given a mark of 78, which looks within his compass. He needed the full 10 furlongs that day and will be staying on again. Tiger Flash contests his first handicap after being a beaten over this trip at Leicester on his previous start. He may improve now switched to this discipline.
Selections:
2:05 - Ialysos
2:40 - Mirrored
3:15 - Sea The Stars
3:45 - Strawberrydaiquiri
4:20 - Wells Lyrical
4:55 - Santefisio
5:30 - Senses
Results:
2:05 - 1st - Ialysos, 9/2, 2nd - Triple Aspect, 13/8 fav, 3rd - Masta Plasta, 11/1.
2:40 - 1st - Acrostic, 7/1, 2nd - Crackdown, 10/1, 3rd - Mirrored, 9/2 fav.
3:15 - 1st - Sea The Stars, 4/7 fav, 2nd - Rip Van Winkle, 11/2, 3rd - Conduit, 9/2.
3:45 - 1st - Strawberrydaiquiri, 6/5 fav, 2nd - Say No Now, 6/1, 3rd - Wadaat, 11/2.
4:20 - 1st - Desert Sea, 7/2, 2nd - Victoria Montoya, 6/1, 3rd - Wells Lyrical, 5/1.
4:55 - 1st - Cyflymder, 5/1, 2nd - Maswerte, 15/8 fav, 3rd - Santifisio, 8/1.
5:30 - 1st - Sandor, 9/1, 2nd - Nbhan, 11/2, 3rd - Call It On, 7/1.
The first race underlines the quality of the afternoon and is the Group 3 Coral Charge, ran over 5f. Forecast favourite is Triple Aspect and he deserves to be at the head of the market judged on his recent form. He notched his second course and distance win just over two weeks ago and won impressively by two lengths, made even better considering he was badly outpaced early on and had to carry a penalty after his win in France. Owned by Harry Findlay and trained by William Haggas, he has conditions to suit and should make a bold bid to improve the good recent record of three-year-olds in the race. Ialysos is an interesting contender now dropped in grade after disappointed in the Golden Jubilee Stakes last time out. He was previously eight races unbeaten after arriving from Greece and then winning on his debut for Luca Cumani at Haydock but could not handle the rough nature of the Group 1-rated contest. Cumani believes he will be much better off back in grade and hopes that this serves as a confidence booster. He looks sure to return to form with Cristophe Lemaire in the saddle. Anglezarke is aiming to build on her huge run at Ascot last time out, where she finished third behind Scenic Blast in the Kings Stand Stakes. Despite being a big price, she beat some good horses but lacked the class of the impressive winner. She has been holding her form well and was only a neck behind Ialysos at Haydock, hinting that it possible that she may reverse the form with the 'Greek Freak'. Lower down in the betting are standing dishes in these races, but who look up against it. These include Captain Gerrard, Judd Street and Masta Plasta, who all need to improve to feature here.
The Coral Challenge comes shortly after and it lives up to its name, looking very difficult to fathom. Mirrored has a good chance based on his massive run in the Brittania Stakes at Ascot, where he finished two short-heads third, even though he was first in his group on the far side. He looks a pregressive animal and despite going up another 6lbs in the handicap, he ought to go close to adding a second course and distance win under Ryan Moore. Alfathaa ran a big race on his seasonal debut in the Royal Hunt Cup, eventually finishing seventh. It was a good effort based on his lack of race fitness and he had some smart form as a two-year-old. If he has trained on, he could improve on his current mark of 102. Huzzah finished second in the Royal Hunt Cup, only two lengths behind the winner, who looks a Group performer in waiting. He has been a consistent sort for Barry Hills and looks set to run well again. A number of alternatives linger in the line-up, such as Roman Republic for the in-form Mark Johnston team. He failed to give his running at Ascot and finished eight places behind Mirrored, but it is too soon to be writing him off.
The big race, the Coral Eclipse, takes centre stage shortly after 3pm and Sea The Stars looks to have a huge chance to add to his awesome haul of Group 1s already this season. After winning the 2,000 Guineas, he went to Epsom and hacked up in the Derby. He won very easily that day and showed to everyone just how special he is and he can further their beliefs today. The form of his wins this year stacks up impressively. Mastercraftsman, who finished behind him at Newmarket, has gone on to win the Irish 2,000 Guineas and the St James' Palace Stakes in good style and Fame And Glory, runner-up in the Derby, went on to romp home in the Irish equivalent just two weeks ago. He has a superb turn of foot which will hold him in good stead over this trip and he may too much finishing pace for his opposition. He is also getting 11lbs from the older horses in the race, a huge plus for Mick Kinane's mount. John Oxx has been patient with his charge and has always said he needs fast ground to perform, and with that present, it will take a good one to beat him. Conduit only just failed to win on his seasonal reappearance, where he was beaten a nose in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes by Cima De Triomphe, whom he re-opposes today. Conduit, a classic winner after his St Leger win last season, has to give weight to Sea The Stars but is a classy horse in his own right. After winning well at Doncaster, giving trainer Sir Michael Stoute his first winner in the race, he went to Santa Anita to contest the Breeders' Cup Turf over 1m 4f. He was ridden confidently by Ryan Moore and swooped late to land the spoils. He has a good turn of foot and is sure to stay every inch of this trip so if any is to trouble the favourite, Conduit may be the one. Rip Van Winkle has been a hype horse for trainer Aidan O'Brien and has finished behind Sea The Stars twice this season. He has been running on strongly however, indicating that this stiff track may play to his strengths. Jimmy Fortune takes over from the banned Johnny Murtagh and Rip Van Winkle will have no excuses with conditions to suit. Cima De Triomphe will do well to beat Conduit again after his narrow win last time out. He is an interesting contender but may lack the class of Sea The Stars.
A Listed Fillies race follows and Sir Michael Stoute has an interesting runner in Strawberrydaiquiri, who won a modest a Windsor maiden on her last start. Even though her opposition was average, she still won with plenty in hand and deserves this step up in class. She looks set to go off a short price and may well prove worth risking, despite her inexperience. Her trainer has a good record in the race and will go close to building on it. Wadaat is down in class after a disappointing effort in the Oaks at Epsom in June. She is fully exposed and drops back to a mile after struggling to prove effective over further. Beat Seven has to improve on the form shown this season to feature. She finished off her juvenile season well, running some good races in defeat. However, she has lacked that same zest this term and her trainer could be in better form. Young Americans is an intriguing runner for Marco Botti. She is unbeaten after one race and is an import from Italy. Botti is a shrewd operator and only enters horses in this grade if he believes they perform with credit, so this filly needs a check in the market.
Another Listed race comes after and is to be ran over 2m. Judgethemoment aims to win his fourth consecutive race after winning the Ascot Stakes in good fashion, even though that was over 4f extra. He is a dour stayer and is just as effective at this trip. He is a worthy favourite and will be staying on at the finish. Gravitation had some very good form last season and if back to anywhere close to that, ought to win. However, he ran a shocker on his seasonal debut but may be given another chance now fit after that run. Desert Sea ran well on his previous start, where he finished behind Daraahem in the Chester Cup in May. He is fresh enough for this run and is another runner with sound claims. Wells Lyrical has yet to win over this trip but has gone mighty close on his last two runs. He finished a length by Som Tala in last weekend's Northumberland Plate and if over those exertions, may again run with credit. Amerigo has so far disappointed this season but with trainer Michael Jarvis now in better form, he may be ready to strike.
Another handicap follows and it looks a trappy affair. Maswerte appreciated the switch to turf on his seasonal debut and he won easily at Newbury. He has gone up 6lbs for that success but looks progressive enough to prove better than that. Santefisio is very interesting after two good efforts this season. He surprised everyone when winning a Newbury maiden at odds of 100/1 but proved that win to be no fluke when only just failing on his last start. He stayed every yard of the 7f that day on to lose out to Cyflymder, of whom he has 12lbs in hand on. Cyflymder has won three races already this season and has gone up another 4lbs as a result. He is in good form but will need to improve again to win this. The market will be crucial in this race as there are many unexposed types in the race, such as Floor Show, who ran well last time out and with his trainer in form, may feature under Ted Durcan.
The last race is another tough puzzle to solve and again the betting will shape the opinion of the contest. Raaeidd ran well at York last time, where he finished behind an improving type, who has since go on to run well at the Royal meeting at Ascot. He has gone up 2lbs for that but looks the type to improve throughout the season. Senses won well over course and distance on his last start and has been given a mark of 78, which looks within his compass. He needed the full 10 furlongs that day and will be staying on again. Tiger Flash contests his first handicap after being a beaten over this trip at Leicester on his previous start. He may improve now switched to this discipline.
Selections:
2:05 - Ialysos
2:40 - Mirrored
3:15 - Sea The Stars
3:45 - Strawberrydaiquiri
4:20 - Wells Lyrical
4:55 - Santefisio
5:30 - Senses
Results:
2:05 - 1st - Ialysos, 9/2, 2nd - Triple Aspect, 13/8 fav, 3rd - Masta Plasta, 11/1.
2:40 - 1st - Acrostic, 7/1, 2nd - Crackdown, 10/1, 3rd - Mirrored, 9/2 fav.
3:15 - 1st - Sea The Stars, 4/7 fav, 2nd - Rip Van Winkle, 11/2, 3rd - Conduit, 9/2.
3:45 - 1st - Strawberrydaiquiri, 6/5 fav, 2nd - Say No Now, 6/1, 3rd - Wadaat, 11/2.
4:20 - 1st - Desert Sea, 7/2, 2nd - Victoria Montoya, 6/1, 3rd - Wells Lyrical, 5/1.
4:55 - 1st - Cyflymder, 5/1, 2nd - Maswerte, 15/8 fav, 3rd - Santifisio, 8/1.
5:30 - 1st - Sandor, 9/1, 2nd - Nbhan, 11/2, 3rd - Call It On, 7/1.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
